Australian Mortgage Statistics 2026 — Key Data & Trends

A comprehensive collection of Australian housing finance and mortgage statistics drawn from the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA), Australian Bureau of Statistics (ABS), Australian Prudential Regulation Authority (APRA), and Roy Morgan Research. Updated regularly.

RBA Cash Rate: 4.1%  |  Mortgage Stress: 26.6% (1.319 million)  |  Avg Loan: ~$620K

1. RBA Cash Rate — Key Milestones

The Reserve Bank of Australia's cash rate is the single most important driver of Australian mortgage rates. Variable home loan rates typically move in line with cash rate changes, usually within days of an RBA decision.

YearCash RateContext
199017.5%Recession we had to have; record high mortgage rates
19967.5%Mid-cycle recovery; rates easing from recession highs
20006.25%Pre-GST; RBA began tightening ahead of housing boom
2008 pre-GFC7.25%Inflation concern; last hike before GFC crisis
2009 post-GFC3.0%Emergency cuts in response to global financial crisis
20161.5%Record low at the time; maintained for 3+ years
2020 COVID0.10%Emergency pandemic low; all-time record
2022 hike cycle start0.10%First hike of the 2022–23 cycle in May 2022
2023 peak4.35%13 hikes in 18 months; peak of post-COVID tightening
20244.35%On hold throughout 2024 while inflation eased
20254.10%First cut in February 2025 — easing cycle begins
2026 current4.1%Current rate as of 2026-04-16; next meeting 5 May 2026

Source: Reserve Bank of Australia (rba.gov.au). Cash rate history.

2. Mortgage Stress Statistics

Roy Morgan Research defines mortgage stress as borrowers who are "at risk" based on their income, repayments, and spending. This is a more nuanced measure than the simple 30%-of-income threshold.

26.6%

of Australian mortgage holders are at risk of mortgage stress (Roy Morgan, 2026 estimate)

1.319 million

mortgage holders considered at risk — the highest level in over a decade

30%

of gross income is the standard threshold for "mortgage stress" under the most common definition

Mortgage stress is not evenly distributed. Victoria has the highest stress rate at 29.1%, followed by Queensland (28.3%) and South Australia (27.8%). The ACT has the lowest stress rate at 21.4%, reflecting higher household incomes in Canberra.

The surge in stress reflects the impact of 13 interest rate hikes between May 2022 and November 2023, adding approximately $1,200–$1,800 per month to repayments on a typical $600,000 variable mortgage.

Source: Roy Morgan Research — Mortgage Stress report. Data as at early 2026.

3. Average Mortgage Size and Housing Finance

MetricValueSource
Average new owner-occupier loan (national) ~$620,000 ABS Housing Finance (2025)
Average new investor loan (national) ~$650,000 ABS Housing Finance (2025)
Total outstanding housing credit ~$2.1 trillion RBA Financial Aggregates (2025)
Owner-occupier share of housing credit ~65% APRA Quarterly ADI Statistics
Investor share of housing credit ~35% APRA Quarterly ADI Statistics
Interest-only share of new lending ~17% APRA Quarterly ADI Statistics (2025)
Fixed-rate share of outstanding loans ~10% RBA Financial Stability Review (2025)
Variable-rate share of outstanding loans ~90% RBA Financial Stability Review (2025)
Household debt-to-income ratio ~190% RBA (one of the highest in the OECD)
Mortgage delinquency rate (90+ days) ~1.5% APRA / S&P Global Ratings (2025)

4. Median House Prices by Capital City

Median house prices vary enormously across Australian capital cities. Sydney remains Australia's most expensive market, with a median house price roughly double that of Darwin.

StateCapital CityMedian House PriceMortgage Stress Rate
New South WalesSydney$1.2M25.8%
VictoriaMelbourne$890,00029.1%
QueenslandBrisbane$810,00028.3%
Western AustraliaPerth$680,00025.5%
South AustraliaAdelaide$700,00027.8%
TasmaniaHobart$590,00029.5%
Australian Capital TerritoryCanberra$870,00021.4%
Northern TerritoryDarwin$510,00026.2%

Source: CoreLogic / Domain median house price estimates, circa 2025–26. Stress rates: Roy Morgan Research. Indicative figures — actual medians change monthly.

5. Interest Rate Trends (2026)

Australian variable mortgage rates are typically priced at approximately 2–3 percentage points above the RBA cash rate, reflecting lender funding costs, margins, and risk premium. Over the 2022–2023 rate hiking cycle, variable rates rose from approximately 2.5% to over 7% — a jump that materially increased repayments for most variable borrowers.

Rate TypeLow (approx)High (approx)Notes
Standard variable (owner-occupier P&I) 6.0% 7.0% Competitive online lenders at low end; big four at high end
Fixed rate (1–3 year) 5.4% 5.8% Fixed rates currently below variable as market prices in rate cuts
Investor variable (P&I) 6.2% 7.3% Typically 0.2–0.3% above owner-occupier rates
Interest-only (investor) 6.5% 7.6% IO premium typically 0.3–0.5% above P&I

Source: RBA Indicator Lending Rates; Canstar / RateCity market data. Rates as at early 2026.

6. Housing Affordability Context

Australia's household debt-to-income ratio of approximately 190% is among the highest in the OECD. This reflects decades of rising property prices outpacing income growth, with low interest rates accelerating borrowing until 2022. The combination of high debt levels and rapid rate rises in 2022–23 created the mortgage stress surge now visible in Roy Morgan's data.

Current inflation (3.7% as at early 2026) remains above the RBA's 2–3% target band, which constrains the pace of rate cuts. However, markets have priced in further easing through 2026–2027, which should gradually reduce mortgage stress levels as variable rates decline.

Data currency: Financial statistics change frequently. For the most current data, visit rba.gov.au, abs.gov.au, and apra.gov.au.

Sources

Run the Numbers for Your Situation

Statistics are averages. Use our calculators to see what the numbers mean for your specific loan.

Mortgage Stress Test →